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ASSEMBLY ELECTIONS 2001
Kerala
FIRST AMONG UNEQUALS
He is no intellectual
giant like E.M.S. Namboodiripad, nor does he have the charisma of E.K.
Nayanar. And unlike these former CPI(M) chief ministers from upper caste
and feudal families, he is from a lower caste and class.
But today, this high-school dropout is the most
powerful man in Kerala politics, thanks to his phenomenal organisational
skills. He is convener of the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF) and despite
having no ideological airs, is the editor of party organ Desabhimani.
Yet, Velikkakathu Sankaran Achuthanandan-78, veteran of the legendary
Punnapra-Vayalar peasant uprising and politburo member for a decade now-has
never even been a minister in his six decades of politics.
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| KEEPING FINGERS CROSSED: Antony
(right) is the only obstacle in Achuthanandan's way |
"VS" missed the big job on two occasions
despite being projected as the CPI(M) chief ministerial aspirant. First,
in 1991, when the LDF lost the election, thanks to the post-Rajiv Gandhi
sympathy wave. In 1996, Achuthanandan was defeated by a lowly Congressman
in Mararikkulam, where the CPI(M) had never tasted defeat. The villain?
The CPI(M)'s inhouse trade union lobby which abhorred Achuthanandan. This
time the man is leaving nothing to chance. He is the only politburo member
in the fray and has moved to Malampuzha, the CPI(M)'s fortress in Palakkad
district.
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LIMITS
OF BIPOLARITY
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| 1996
Assembly elections |
| Total Seats: 140 |
Seats won |
%Votes |
| CPI (M)+ |
80 |
46.71 |
| Congress+ |
60 |
45.57 |
| 1999 Parliamentary elections |
Total
Seats: 20 |
Seats won |
Assembly Segment Leads |
% Votes |
| CPI (M)+ |
8 |
44 |
38.99 |
| Congress+ |
12 |
96 |
49.32 |
Now the only person he needs to take care of
is Arakkaparambil Kurianpillai Antony, the Congress frontrunner for the
chief minister's post. Starting his career as a student activist in the
late 1950s against the first communist government, Antony's rise was meteoric
thanks to his clean image. At 32, this law graduate became the Kerala
Pradesh Congress Committee's youngest president; at 37, its youngest chief
minister. At 60, Mr Clean wants his job back. He hopes K. Karunakaran
(see box), his senior colleague and traditional rival in the party, won't
put a spanner in the works.
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K. Karunakaran: STAR-CROSSED
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SONIA'S WRATH: Not taking it lying
down
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Shani (Saturn)
is at its zenith. It's a very bad time for him till 2003,"
predicted M. Namboodiripad, astrologer to K. Karunakaran. But no
one thought it would be this bad. The octogenarian's camp in the
Congress has been given a minority share of 34 tickets. Even his
daughter, K. Padmaja, has been denied a ticket. The old man sees
this as an Antony conspiracy. He has resigned as the permanent invitee
to the Congress Working Committee, obliquely threatening to sabotage
the UDF's poll efforts.
Karunakaran's has never got along with
Sonia Gandhi, who earlier refused to appoint his son as the state
unit chief. Even so, he recited a Malayalam poem that translated
means, "It's wrong to expect an imprint on the son's backside
just because his father rode an elephant." Strange, for a man
who wants to build a dynasty.
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Karunakaran always had the high command's ear,
thanks to his proximity to Indira and Rajiv Gandhi. But with Sonia Gandhi
the equations have changed, with the lady showing a clear preference for
Antony. This is what makes Antony so confident. Now if only Achuthanandan
would oblige.
-M.G. Radhakrishnan
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