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 CURRENT ISSUE JAN 28, 2002

COVER STORY: PAKISTAN

Walking the Talk

For India, there is no question of a dialogue with Pakistan until its ends its double-speak and keeps to its promises on the ground.

By Sishir Gupta

When Army Chief General S. Padamanbhan spoke of obliterating the nuclear attacker
with India's second strike capability last fortnight, Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee
and Defence Minister George Fernandes were visibly uncomfortable. But the civilian and
the military leadership are clear about one thing: Pakistan President General Pervez Musharraf must "walk the talk" before any demobilisation of Indian forces takes place from the Indo-Pak border.

Although visiting US Secretary of State Colin Powell has called for a dialogue to ease the diplomatic-military standoff between the two countries, India is keen that Musharraf keeps to his word on the ground before any dialogue can begin. The Pakistan president's widely publiced television speech and the US advocacy were discussed threadbare by the Cabinet Committee on Security in two consecutive meetings before Fernandes left for an official visit to Pentagon. It was decided that India would maintain its diplomatic-military posture till Pakistan stops infiltration in Jammu and Kashmir and hand over the 20 terrorists named in the "most wanted" list that Delhi submitted to Islamabad.

Notwithstanding Musharraf's intentions of bringing moderation into the strife-torn Pakistani society, India wants to hold the Pakistan president on his commitment to stop terrorist violence in Kashmir. It wants to know whether terrorism in Kashmir includes Pakistan's support of "legitimate freedom struggle"--- as reiterated by Musharraf in the National Kashmir Committee meeting last week---and attack on combatant targets. A special note has been taken of Prime Minister Sikander Hayat Khan's statement that no terrorist activity would be allowed from Pakistan Occupied Kashmir (PoK). Musharraf's decision to drop the terms "freedom struggle" from his speech also didn't go unnoticed.To that extent, India expressed a cautious welcome to the steps taken by Pakistan against cross-border terrorism.

For the moment, Delhi, it appears, has decided to adopt a "wait-and-watch policy" given knows that there are forces within the Pakistani Army which may be beyond Musharraf's control. The fire in Pakistan's interior ministry, where documents reportedly relating to
banned terrorist groups were destroyed, indicates that there are divisions within the Rawalpindi General Headquarters. Another cause of concern for Delhi is Musharraf's propensity to shift stands under pressure, whether it is from the international community or the fundamentalists within. The aborted crackdown against jehadis last year, the Taliban turnaround and the Kargil war show that the General is always ready for a tactical turn to suit his long-term plans.

All this does not mean that India is not in a hurry to demobilise its forces along the border. The deployment of forces here is costing the Government dear. Besides, military training has almost come to a standstill and army commanders are finding it difficult to keep their men charged. While signs of a war may have receded to some extent after Musharraf's speech, the commanders want to remain battle-ready for at least the next three months. Even the pulling back of the second line that is involved in supporting the operational forces stands has been ruled out. According to intelligence reports, infiltration is still continuing from across the borders.

Under the circumstances, the onus lies on Pakistan to take urgent steps to stop the infiltration and hand over at least some of the terrorists named in the list. Intelligence reports again indicate that underworld dons Dawood Ibrahim and Chota Shakeel have been shifted out of the limelight to the Baluchistan frontier while one of the Memon brothers has been packed off to the Gulf. Similarly, Jaish-e-Mohammed supremo Maulana Masood Azhar is comfortably ensconced in a guest house with telephone facilities while Sikh terrorists have been lodged in a gurudwara and the IC 814 hijackers are at large in Bahawalpur and Sindh. Home Minister L.K. Advani let Washington know about these reports, hoping that Pakistan would act on them. But Musharraf's speech remained adamant. But India is equally adamant. Unless Pakistan ends its double-speak, there will no question of a dialogue between the two countries.

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