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| DRIFTING ALONG: (From left) M.M. Joshi, Naidu,
Vajpayee and Advani; (below left) the Congress makes capital of the
petrol-pump scam |
No, you cannot
call it a midlife crisis, for the BJP in power is too young to be assailed
by existential anxieties-unless the party is suffering from some kind
of premature ageing. The party that claimed to be holier than the rest-and
it was-is fast becoming one of them. Just four years in power and the
sheen is gone, today it is all about sleaze. The party brass is worried,
and for some time, they have been meeting regularly to make sense of this
crisis in image.
At
one such meeting, just prior to his departure for the UK on an official
visit, Deputy Prime Minister L.K. Advani told his colleagues that the
party was under attack. There was no relief from the season of bad news:
the controversy over petrol and LPG allocations to RSS and BJP workers
gave way to allegations of favouritism in land allotments. Then came the
sensational-and hysterical-allegations of high-profile Parliamentary Affairs
Minister Pramod Mahajan's involvement in the journalist Shivani Bhatnagar
murder case. As bad luck would have it, this was just the moment that
Shiv Sena chief Bal Thackeray found most auspicious to demonstrate why
he is a frontrunner for the title of India's most irresponsible politician
(see box). Ironically, the sympathetic press that the forced resignation
of the Sena's Suresh Prabhu-seen as a clean and efficient power minister-has
received contrasts starkly with the media's cynical response to the BJP's
protestations.
The BJP's response to the current crisis has been uncharacteristic.
In the past, the party has displayed the capacity to respond to adversity
through a process of collective introspection. This has seen the party
recover from setbacks like electoral defeats after the Babri Masjid demolition.
And, when the Government scrapped dubious petrol and LPG allotments, it
was in tune with the party's so-called moral character. That was momentary.
Suddenly, its public postures began to betray anger and a persecution
complex. Since the Tehelka revelations in March, 2001, the BJP leadership
has felt that the media has been selective in attacking the party. Wearied
by fighting successive rearguard battles, the party's sense of grievance
has peaked.
When the newly constituted BJP Central Election Committee met at Prime
Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee's residence on August 21 to discuss the
strategy and party tickets for the Jammu and Kashmir elections, the discussion
veered round to the sleaze revelations that have rocked the Government.
The dominant sentiment at the table was that the party must "go on
the offensive" and strike back at the Congress by exposing its "history
of misdeeds". Interestingly, Vajpayee maintained a studied silence.
Says BJP President M. Venkaiah Naidu: "This is not even a shoot-and-scoot
campaign. It is a spit-and-run mission." Yet, this aggression is
reminiscent of the Rajiv Gandhi regime's futile attempts to bluster its
way out of the Bofors crisis. That the open season of BJP-bashing has
tempted the Opposition to overreach itself is also true as the allegations
of land allotments levelled against Advani's daughter Pratibha by Uttaranchal
Congress spokesman Surendra Aggarwal show. The Advani in question turned
out to be Ashok Advani, CEO of Business India.
Yet, a grating edge can be detected in the BJP's statements. On the
Urban Development Ministry's land allotments to RSS-backed trusts, the
party released similar lists from the Congress era. Take Mahajan's predicament.
The allegations were hurled at him by the hysterical wife of an accused
in a murder case. But people seem to have lost faith in politicians-or
their words.
"By simply saying that a Ram Naik was preceded by a Satish Sharma
and that Congressmen were scamsters is not going to alter the impression
that the BJP is no different from other political parties," says
a senior BJP minister. Still, the party has not come out with a counter-strategy
or a damage-control mechanism. In both the petrol-pumps and land-allocation
cases, a number of beneficiaries were RSS members. They were as willing
as any political worker to milk the benefits of power. Yet, the organisation
has been unwilling to see any impropriety, taking refuge in the line that
"just because someone is an RSS man does not mean that he should
be discriminated against". It seems oblivious to the likely damage
to its credibility if the BJP fails to arrest its falling graph. As for
the BJP itself, its response to the crisis of credibility will define
what sort of a party it is going to be. "After all, what is at stake
is the soul of the party. The BJP does not want to follow in the Congress'
footsteps," says a party office bearer.
Not that the Government has not had not notched up successes. Senior
Samata Party leader and Railways Minister Nitish Kumar says the Government
has not been an all-around failure. "No one in this country thought
that we could have six lane highways. We have done well in infrastructure
sectors. For example, a safety fund of Rs 17,500 crore has been set up
for the Railways," he points out. Kumar, however, agrees that public
perception is moulded by several factors. The Vajpayee Government's success
in staying on the reforms track and initiating employment-generating measures
like Prime Minister's Gram Sadak Yojana and increasing public spending
are not earning it the points it could have. "As things stand now,
the NDP cannot really hope to retain power," says an NDA leader.
"At best we can hope for a hung parliament."
| SHIV
SENA |
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MAULED BY THE TIGER |
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Histrionics has been Shiv Sena pramukh Bal Thackeray's stock
in trade. After summarily asking Rajapur MP Suresh Prabhu
to quit as Union power minister, Thackeray declared that he
was fed up with politics and would like to retire.
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| ME ALONE: The Shiv Sena chief does
not tolerate anybody else acquiring a profile |
But just as the resignation drama was all about Thackeray
asserting himself, sacking Prabhu-despite Prime Minister A.B.
Vajpayee's reservations-was meant to send a signal. Says Sena
spokesperson Subhash Desai: "Getting a Sena minister
to step down is an internal party matter. Balasaheb has his
own style of conveying messages." Prabhu, who has attracted
the envy of Sena old-timers, has paid the price for not catering
to Thackeray's "interests". The Sena chief wrote
to Vajpayee asking for Prabhu's replacement by Anant Geete,
who had only recently been sworn in as minister of state,
and Geete's substitution by Anandrao Adsul. Says Adsul, MP
from Buldhana: "I am happy the chief has entrusted to
me a great responsibility. His word is the last word. No one
dares defy or ignore them."
Prabhu's growing popularity invited the scorn of Thackeray,
who dismissed him as "an Alice in wonderland". The
demotion was stoked by inner-party wranglings-leaders like
Lok Sabha Speaker Manohar Joshi are resentful of Prabhu. The
argument was that he could not be "clean and efficient"
at the "cost" of the party.
Prabhu was also the victim of differences between Thackeray's
son Uddhav and nephew Raj. Prabhu is believed to be close
to Uddhav, while Adsul is supposedly close to Raj. The two
faction even put up their own options as Prabhu's replacement:
Subodh Mohite and Rajya Sabha member and Videocon Group chief
Rajkumar Dhoot by the Uddhav group and Adsul by the Raj faction.
While the Sena is lamely equating Prabhu's ouster with the
BJP drafting Union ministers Arun Jaitley and M. Venkaiah
Naidu for party work, it is quite clear the resident of Matoshree
will not tolerate anyone else acquiring a high profile.
-Sheela Raval
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A typical example of how BJP men have contributed to this image crisis
is Vajpayee's man Friday in Lucknow, Lalji Tandon, who is minister in
the Mayawati Government. He has been indicted by the Comptroller and Auditor
General (CAG) in its review of the functioning of Uttar Pradesh Housing
and Development Board (UPHDB), which is under his ministry. The CAG has
pulled up Tandon for getting mobile phone bills worth Rs 4.06 lakh cleared
by the UPHDB. According to the CAG, the board had obliged select people
by squandering more than Rs 22 crore by way of excess compensation during
the previous BJP regime. "A test check in audit revealed that Rs
37.18 crore was paid as compensation against Rs 14.44 crore reported to
the Government," says the report. The beneficiaries were largely
BJP and RSS men.
Adding to the Government's woes is an increasing shortfall of competent
ministers to man important portfolios. Despite Mahajan suffering collateral
damage due to the Shivani case, he is one of the brighter minds in the
Government who will have to live down the controversy. Also, with Naidu
and spokesman Arun Jaitley drafted for party work, the talent deficit
in the Government will only get more acute. The exit of the Sena's Prabhu
will affect Vajpayee's ambitious references to power reform which were
an important part of his Independence Day address to the nation. His likely
replacement, Sena rookie Anant Geete, not only lacks experience but is
a novice in dealing with reform issues, which require both enterprise
and understanding.
The RSS way of "getting things done" is not the only addition
to the Government's image woes. The BJP is a helpless victim of RSS affiliates
like the Swadeshi Jagran Manch which have discovered a lucrative formula.
They organise seminars that are sponsored by ministries. Careful name-dropping-"Sudarshanji
(the RSS chief) will be present"-ensures quick compliance.
The BJP hopes that Gujarat will provide it a breather. The party is
looking forward to a comprehensive electoral triumph. "The Congress
can only rejoice that its defeat has been delayed," says Jaitley.
There is an expectation that a victory in Gujarat will give the Government
a reprieve and the BJP a new confidence. A victory in a divided society
may not answer the question of those who have been let down by the party
with a difference: Was the party's "difference" discernible
only when it was not in power?
-with Subhash Mishra
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