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Omar
Abdullah shifts the brand new silver-grey Scorpio Turbo into fifth gear.
Noisy Srinagar has disappeared, the frequency-jamming car ahead is setting
the pace and in cars behind there are more than a dozen guards bristling
with automatic weapons. The sun-dappled, poplar-lined highway to Baramulla,
from which he will veer off to address the day's three political rallies
in Kupwara district, is hauntingly beautiful. The company of Rashtriya
Rifles by a stretch of apple orchards near the highway, checking for landmines,
belong in a picture postcard from the edge. It's a lovely day to drive.
So Omar, son of Farooq, recently crowned king of the ruling National
Conference (NC) and its chief minister-in-waiting, does what any urbane
young man with a punishing poll schedule, troubled inheritance, tense
future and life on the line-he now ranks after Farooq on the terrorist
hit list-might do to unwind. He reaches out, taps a switch on the dash
and plays a tape of Buddha Bar.
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RALLYING GROUND
Parties like the NC are drawing crowds, as at this rally for Omar
Abdullah in Kupwara town. But even a small gathering would be unsafe
without security firepower.
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As soothing lounge music fills the car, I tease him about how the day
before, Mehbooba Mufti had complimented the "generosity of the Crown
Prince who campaigns in helicopters and luxury cars". It was in response
to Omar's own dig earlier, when he said he had to leave some space in
newspapers for Mehbooba, archrival and leader of the People's Democratic
Party (PDP) that is riding on the promise of ridding the state of the
"misrule, nepotism and corruption" of the NC. Omar laughs. He's
enjoying this. "She should talk," he says. "She's a political
inheritor as well."
Then he gets reflective. "In Kashmir, there are four or five of
us in our late 20s to mid-30s." There's Mehbooba. There's Mirwaiz
Omar Farooq, a leader in the separatist Hurriyat Conference that is boycotting
the polls. There are the Lone brothers, Sajjad and Billal, sons of recently
assassinated Abdul Ghani Lone, whose Hurriyat-aligned but moderate People's
Conference have spawned two breakaway, independent candidates. "And
there's me," says Omar, "We'll be around for the next few years."
Pause. "After these elections, nobody will be able to say that I
haven't earned my place. It's an extremely difficult election and I'm
working very hard for it."
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VILLAGE VOICE
Independent candidate Sofi on the trail in Handwara. He draws spontaneous,
rapt crowds.
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He and everybody else. On the afternoon of September 11, just five days
from the first phase of polling, the state's Law Minister Mushtaq Ahmad
Lone was gunned down by Lashkar-e-Toiba terrorists at an election rally
in Kupwara district. A little later, militants fired at a crowd in Poonch
district to the south, gathered at a political rally of an independent
candidate. They killed a dozen innocents, including a 12-year-old boy.
Though the administration is prepared for violence, the incidents have
severely jolted the veneer of security, leading both Deputy Prime Minister
L.K. Advani and state Chief Minister Farooq Abdullah to declare that security
would be beefed up with half a million state and Central forces deployed
across the state. Till the fourth and last phase of elections are held
on October 8 in Jammu's terrorist-infested Doda district, the grisly,
deliberate toll will continue to rise, pushed by an estimated 3,000 militants
spread across Jammu and Kashmir barring Ladakh. Already, since the assembly
elections were notified on August 22, about 150 people have died, almost
120 split evenly among militants and civilians, the remaining security
folk.
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CROWN PRINCE
Omar plays it cool. The NC's chief minister- in-waiting drives himself
wherever he goes. He dresses casually, speaks forcefully, promises
clean governance and smoothly trashes the opposition.
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This land, which ancient Chinese traveller Hsuan Tsang and medieval Kashmiri
historian Kalhan raved about as heaven on earth, is now a place where
just contesting elections is an act of immense bravery. It will come a
close second to the crucial act of actually getting out there and voting.
In 1996, the government tom-tommed a 40 per cent turnout of the state's
electorate, but in places, actual turnout was reported as low as 8 per
cent. This time, if 40 per cent of the state's 56 lakh voters actually
vote, backed by boosted security, the Election Commission's statement
of dealing sternly with incidents of rigging votes and Prime Minister
Atal Bihari Vajpayee's pledge of "free and fair" elections,
it will be regarded globally as an amazing success story.
So far, contestants have come forward for elections in hundreds. In
just 15 assembly constituencies in the two first-phase districts of Kupwara
and Baramulla, bordering the Line of Control (loc) with Pakistan, the
hills teeming with terrorists, there are over a hundred candidates. Across
the state, all major national parties have fielded candidates. There are
active state behemoths like the NC that earned a majority of 57 out of
87 assembly seats in the last elections in 1996, though by Omar's own
admission, anything above 40 seats this time will be a bonus. Congress
punters scale it down to 35-37, predicting a NC wipe-out in Jammu. As
if to pre-empt this, Omar plays direct at rallies. At a 5,000-strong meet
in Kupwara town, after the customary pasting of his opponents-"those
who use India's machinery and then cry for azadi" and "those
who owned disco-dancing clubs in Dubai", this one aimed at Sajjad
Lone-he lists out promises: district hospital, sports stadium, higher
secondary school and a water-supply scheme.
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BALLOT READY
Doda is so rugged and dangerous that it will be the only district
to go for voting on October 8-to better focus security. These village
defence committee volunteers will help regular troops.
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There is the three-year-old PDP of former Union home minister Mufti Mohammad
Sayeed. There are breakaway Independents such as the iconic Ghulam Mohiuddin
Sofi, the key contestant in Handwara who recently left the People's Conference
and whose popular election line, "I can have my head cut off, but
I can't bow my head" draws spontaneous, cheering, rapt crowds numbering
hundreds in his home village of Machipora and elsewhere, his strident
speech filled with hate for the NC. There is former militant Kuka Parray
who is representing the Awami League from Sonawari in Baramulla; and dozens
of traders, teachers and wealthy farmers.
It is similar in the Jammu region, with the addition of pro-Hindutva
parties like the Shiv Sena and a new coalition of 21 small parties and
Independents, the Jammu State Morcha. The Morcha is being guided by the
staunchly nationalist Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh and vows to fight for
statehood for the Jammu region, a part of the Union of India without the
umbrella of Article 370 of India's Constitution that bestows special status
on Jammu and Kashmir.
All this, because even a Kashmir in autumn has more promise of spring
in one state election, and stakes big enough for entire nations. There's
something in it for everybody.
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BLOOD PRICE
Abdul Rahman (right), a candidate from Handwara, was shot dead by
militants a day after this photograph was taken
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Pakistan calls it a farce and its President Pervez Musharraf says he
can't stem the tide of militants from his country, which intelligence
officials in Srinagar confirm is steady. ("You can't really stop
it," says one. "If we kill 10, Pakistan will push in 15 so even
if five die in the crossing, the strength remains constant.") For
India, elections signal free will and democracy are alive and well in
its dominion, a crucial play against Pakistan's claims over Jammu and
Kashmir, especially the Muslim-majority Kashmir Valley. For Omar, it's
a chance to seal his inheritance, overcome his still halting Kashmiri
and reverse nepotism in government, sloth, misappropriation and the overbearing
attitude of the state's security apparatus that he freely admits is part
of his inheritance.
For the Hurriyat, it's an opportunity lost. For people of Ladakh, where
two independent candidates from Leh and Nubra constituencies have already
been elected unopposed, it's just a matter of time before the region is
by general consensus and Central legislation declared a Union territory.
For those in the Jammu State Morcha, essentially a flanking manoeuvre
by the BJP, it's the first step to what many feel is inevitable, whether
it comes next year or a decade later: statehood for Jammu. And for Independents,
many thrust forward by hopeful groups of villagers or townsfolk to voice
their crushed opinion, it is a chance to be part of what should be.
It is time for a campaign pit stop. In the garden of the Showqueen Hotel
and Restaurant in Handwara, Sheikh Abdul Rahman, independent candidate,
sips tea. Next to him, unwinding with a hookah is Ali Mohammad Dar, the
Congress' district president and Rahman's opponent-both are Sofi's rivals.
Dar is trashing the NC. "They keep switching between being with
India and wanting autonomy for Kashmir." He rants on about the Ikhwani,
surrendered militants who now form part of J&K Police's feared counter-terrorist
Special Operations Group, and are known to lean on civilians.
Rahman takes a different route. "It would have been better to provide
four lakh jobs than hold elections." If elections aren't worth it,
why fight? "We have to fight for our rights. Unless people have jobs
they will pick up the gun." And what of the threat to his life from
the guns of fear and loathing militants are aiming at the elections? "The
risk is always there."
The next day, he's dead.
Hizb-ul Mujahideen terrorists ambushed his Sumo, and as his hapless
guards dropped their weapons and ran for their lives, the attackers riddled
Rahman, his two nephews and his driver with bullets.
A Kashmiri will wish for you zindagi, life. He will unashamedly crow
about mohabbat, love-a shikara on Srinagar's Dal Lake is christened "Hello
My Sweetheart", and farm tractors adorn stickers that proclaim, "Kiss".
But "miltan" still call the shots after 13 years of war. And
they are doing their damnedest to destroy the elections of 2002, potentially
the one that will undo the injustices of 1987 polls, widely believed to
have been rigged, and that sparked the firestorm of militant hate that
has so far killed 30,000, more than military casualties of independent
India's wars.
Today, the terms high BP and low BP have as much to do with high or
low blood pressure triggered by tension as they signify high or low levels
of bulletproofing. A phrase during an election speech, or even a simple
belief in the concept of polls, can result in death. "In Kashmir,
we have all become demons," blazes Sajjad Lone. "All of us.
We can kill with mere words." He's remembering his father. Sajjad
regains composure. "Kashmir is not about making India or Pakistan
happy, but about making the people of Kashmir happy. We shouldn't overestimate
ourselves."
That theory will be tested over the next month. As Ghulam Mohammad Bhat,
a sharecropper outside Baramulla, staring at the wake of Omar's motorcade
says, "I'll vote in the name of Allah, but that day I don't know
where my finger will travel, to press the button for which party."
And so it shall come to pass.
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