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Ashok Malik travels to the
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and Gaiety
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CARE
TODAY
INDIA
TODAY HINDI
CURRENT
ISSUE NOVEMBER 4, 2002
MAKING SENSE OF INDIA CHALLENGE
HOW CAN THE NEIGHBOURS RESOVE THEIR DISPUTES? First Strike: Destroy Terror To Get Talking
The first 'Making Sense of India Challenge' results
favour firmly handling Pakistan
In August, INDIA TODAY unveiled a path-breaking series, the Making
Sense of India Challenge, to build public opinion by involving the vast
number of its readers. The eight-article series addressed pressing issues,
ranging from India and Pakistan's brutal relationship, solutions to Ayodhya,
and speedier justice. Readers were provided five options, developed in
consultation with experts, and requested to rank these options in order
of priority.
The first Challenge, "Can India and Pakistan ever be friends?",
attracted 1,06,265 responses between August 19-September 9, 2002, tracked
by Delhi-based NFO-MBL India Ltd. Though not a scientific opinion poll,
the informed response from a universe several times larger than the most
comprehensive of polls provides an insight into middle-class India's thoughts,
an emphatic indicator of choice for Indo-Pak detente.
The verdict
is out: India should talk peace with Pakistan-but not before India's military
crosses the Line of Control in Jammu & Kashmir and destroys terrorist
camps. Of the 1.06 lakh readers of India Today who responded to the Challenge,
44 per cent opted for this move over others.
OPTIONS FOR THE READERS
READERS' CHOICE
1 India
should push for acceptance of the Line of Control as the international
border.
2 There
should be a plebiscite in the Kashmir Valley, giving the people
a choice between staying with India and joining Pakistan.
3 India
should ask for a dialogue with Pakistan after taking military action
to destroy terrorist camps across the Line of Control.
4 India
and Pakistan should declare a cease-fire in the Siachen Glacier
and withdraw troops.
5 India
should accept international mediation to solve cross-border terrorism
and the Kashmir problem.
28.48 %
10.45%
43.53%
13.96%
3.6%
Of the rest, 29 per cent preferred as first option the acceptance of
the loc in J&K as the international border; and 14 per cent thought
the best beginning would be made by declaring a cease-fire in the Siachen
Glacier and withdrawing troops. Addressing one of the stickiest issues,
a not insignificant 11 per cent prefer holding a plebiscite in Kashmir
Valley to decide if the people wanted to stay with India or opt for Pakistan.
Less than 4 per cent ranked India's accepting international mediation
to solve terrorism and the Kashmir mess as a first option.
The verdict is revealing, backed by enormous strength of opinion. At
the very least, it could weigh on India-Pakistan engagement, locking India's
posture to standing firm to combat terror.
There is enough background. Suspicion rules bilateral relations despite
announcements of troop withdrawals to peacetime positions. Moreover, Pakistan
continues to abet cross-border terrorism and President Pervez Musharraf
has given no indication that it's about to end. The violence-racked elections
in Jammu & Kashmir and the attack on the Akshardham Temple in late
September only underscores it. Pakistan's own elections on October 10
has led to cementing of extremist Islam in the political mainstream with
emphatic gains by hardline parties.
It is significant that responses to the Challenge were recorded before
the Kashmir elections and Akshardham. The black mood from incidents like
last December's attack on India's Parliament clearly leads a majority
of readers to choose an aggressive option. Such a strike, called "Operation
Salami Slice", is already on the radar of India's military planners
(see graphic). The logic is that if Pakistan's leadership loses its terror
army, it will be more amenable to peace.
Anger is pronounced among younger respondents, up to 35 years, that
make up 52 per cent of the total (see charts). Older readers prefer the
relatively sedate first option of recognising the loc as the international
border in Jammu & Kashmir, followed near unanimously with the option
of cross-border strikes. The pattern is mirrored across regions as well
and, tellingly enough, in Jammu & Kashmir.