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ISSUE NOVEMBER 4, 2002
DIPLOMACY: NUCLEAR WEAPONS
Unholy Nexus
Pakistan's covert involvement in North Korea's
nuclear weapons programme poses a serious challenge to the US as well
as India
By Shishir Gupta
The telephone lines between South Block and the
US State Department have been burning hot ever since India launched coercive
diplomacy against Pakistan in the aftermath of the December 13 terrorist
attack on Parliament. So External Affairs Minister Yashwant Sinha was
not surprised when his US counterpart Colin Powell called him at 9.40
p.m. on October 17. The topic for discussion was Pakistan but for once
the focus was not India-Pakistan relations or Kashmir. It was the emerging
nuclear nexus between India's neighbour and a prominent member of what
US President George W. Bush calls the "axis of evil"- North
Korea.
ON THE SLY: Musharraf claims Pakistan
has not sold nuclear knowhow to North Korea; (right) Kim Jong II's
country now has a bomb
Sources reveal that Powell and Sinha shared their serious concerns over
the barter arrangement between Islamabad and Pyongyang, in which Pakistan
had secretly supplied sensitive nuclear technology in return for missile
technology from North Korea. The deal came to light after Korean officials
admitted to a nuclear weapons programme during a meeting with US envoy
James Kelly on October 4. A day after his talk with Sinha, Powell read
the riot act to Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf on Islamabad's subterfuge.
In an interview to an American TV channel, Powell said, "I had a
very specific conversation with Musharraf on Friday where he assured us-400
per cent, he said-that Pakistan was not involved in nuclear proliferation.
I have a relationship with President Musharraf that I believe he understands
the consequences of such behaviour, and I take his word for it."
CAUGHT: The North Korean ship that was ferrying
missile components to Pakistan
The diplomatic community in the US see this as an overt sign of Washington's
pressure on Pakistan. Under the veiled threat of sanctions and non-proliferation
laws, the US would now seek greater control over Pakistan's nuclear programme.
In case of North Korea, the US has adopted a more restrained approach.
This is evident from the fact that America shipped heavy fuel oil for
nuclear reactors in North Korea even after Pyongyang's confession this
month.
For Delhi, the revelation that Pakistan was clandestinely acquiring
weapons of mass destruction from North Korea comes with a feeling of deja
vu. At the peak of the Kargil War in 1999, Indian customs officials seized
a North Korean ship Ku Wol San at Kandla which was carrying 170 tonnes
of metal casings and missile components from Pyongyang to Karachi. It
is now evident that North Korea also sold missile technology to Syria
and Libya. The consignment included 22 technical instruction manuals in
Korean language that have given India a deep insight into Pyongyang's
missile prowess and Pakistan's missile capabilities.
BUILDING DISTRUST: The US is helping North
Korea build this reactor for nuclear energy
The catch was instrumental in establishing "back channel" contacts
between Delhi and Washington at the time when bilateral ties were lying
in deep freeze due to Pokhran II in 1998. To date Delhi has studiously
kept these "contacts" away from the prying eyes of intelligence
agencies.
K. Santhanam, director, Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses,
Delhi, says that India has known about the North Korea-Pakistan nexus
since Pakistani nuclear scientist A.Q. Khan brought 10-12 Nodong missiles
from Pyongyang between 1992 and 1994. The Pakistani 1,500-km range Ghauri
(Hatf V) missile is an avatar of the Korean Nodong nuclear-payload delivery
system. The missile for nuclear technology agreement was apparently sealed
during the then prime minister Benazir Bhutto's quiet visit to Pyongyang
via Beijing in December 1993.
CLANDESTINE DEALS
Pakistan sought North Korea's assistance in missile technology
to counter India's Agni missile in 1991
1992:
Pakistan's nuclear and missile scientist A.Q. Khan initiates talks
for purchase and transfer of 10-12 1,500-km range Nodong missiles
by Islamabad.
1993: Prime minister Benazir Bhutto goes to North Korea
via China to finalise the agreement for acquisition of Nodong missiles
and transfer of technology.
1996: Taiwan detains North Korean ship Chusong for misdeclaration
of 15 tonnes of ammonium perchlorate, key missile fuel component,
that was being shipped to Pakistan.
1998: Pakistan test fires Ghauri missile, a carbon copy
of Nodong, on April 6. On May 4, US imposes sanctions against a
North Korean company and Pakistan's Khan Research Laboratory.
2002: US confirms that Pakistan was getting North Korean
missile technology in return for helping Pyongyang build a nuclear
bomb.
It is apparent that Pakistan started looking at North Korea for missile
technology after China signed a pact with the US in April 1984 against
arms trade. Pyongyang also signed a pact with Washington in 1994, under
which North Korea was to cap its nuclear weapons programme in return for
US cooperation in production of nuclear energy. Clearly, the two pacts
have been hit hard with the evidence that China, Russia and Pakistan helped
North Korea in its uranium enrichment programme. Russia, on its part,
denies it has anything to do with Pyongyang's quest for a nuclear bomb.
Although India has asked for an investigation into the Islamabad-Pyongyang
nuclear nexus, it is clear the North Korean nuclear programme has the
Pakistani stamp on it. This is evident from the fact that North Korea
abandoned its pursuit of a plutonium-based bomb in the early 1990s and
followed the Pakistani route of acquiring a weapon through the uranium
enrichment process. Western intelligence reports say Pakistan supplied
gas centrifuges-used in uranium enrichment-and key nuclear weapons technology
to North Korea. "It occurred to us that there might be a complementarity
of interest between North Korea and Pakistan," says Robert Einhorn,
former US assistant secretary of state for nuclear non-proliferation.
Santhanam believes that a Pakistani airline, run by a retired air force
officer having close links with the ISI, was used to ferry the nuclear
technology from Islamabad to Pyongyang.
With the bomb now tumbling out of the closet, the US is putting pressure
on China to use its influence with its "all-weather friend"
in Islamabad to stop nuclear proliferation and on North Korea for a roll-back
of its nuclear programme. The nuclear issue topped the agenda of Chinese
President Ziang Zemin during his trip to the US last week. It seems the
US will use Chinese leverage to curtail the North Korean nuke programme
just as it used Pakistani influence on the Taliban in Afghanistan last
year. And as in the case of the Taliban, Washington cannot resolve the
problem by simply talking.