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INDIA
TODAY HINDI
CURRENT
ISSUE NOVEMBER 11, 2002
STATES: JAMMU & KASHMIR
Coalition Crumbs
By acceding
to PDP pressure in Jammu and Kashmir, the Congress has signalled a reorientation
in its policy on sharing power
On October
26, Congress President Sonia Gandhi took a leaf out of the BJP's book.
For long, the Congress' concept of a coalition meant a more-than-equal
role for the party. Now Sonia has not only accepted the idea of rotational
chief ministership as perfected by the BJP in Uttar Pradesh, she has also
announced that Mufti Mohammed Sayeed of the People's Democratic Party
would head the coalition government for the first three years in Jammu
and Kashmir.
In one stroke, Sonia frittered away the electoral gains of the party
in the state, the first in many years. If she had to take such a decision
in "the larger national interest", wouldn't it have been better
to have made it in the first few days of the historic elections? At least
the party would not have appeared so frustrated.
GIVING WAY: (From
left) JKPCC chief Ghulam Nabi Azad, Sonia and the Mufti
There is this worry in Congress circles: Sonia's Jammu and Kashmir model
could herald new crises in Congress-led coalition governments in Maharashtra
and Kerala. What if the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) in Maharashtra
and United Front constituents in Kerala demand a stint in the chief minister's
office? "Would Sharad Pawar be acceptable to the Congress leadership
since he may be best suited to manage Maharashtra's affairs? The Kashmir
pattern has raised more questions about the party's coalition policy than
it answers," says a Congress MP.
Senior Congress leaders wished away these questions by suggesting that
the Kashmir decision was made in an extraordinary situation. "The
decision speaks of Sonia's visionary approach to the Kashmir situation,"
insists Congress Working Committee member Arjun Singh, who was instrumental
in persuading the party president to back Mufti. AICC General Secretary
Kamal Nath endorses: "The Kashmir decision has not changed our approach
to coalition politics. Sonia only revealed her vision for the state."
It is true that this is not the first time the party is taking a secondary
role in the state. After the signing of the 1975 Indira Gandhi-Sheikh
Abdullah accord, Chief Minister Mir Qasim resigned to make way for the
Sheikh. The National Conference did not have a single MLA then and the
Congress vacated the Ganderbal seat for the Sheikh. For 11 years, the
party followed a similar pattern in Mizoram after the Rajiv-Laldenga accord.
Sonia is only keeping up the family tradition, argue some senior leaders.
The Congress it seems has finally overcome its coalition phobia. The
Samajwadi Party (SP), which is working overtime to wreck the Mayawati
Government in Uttar Pradesh, is hoping to benefit from the Sonia doctrine.
That is why soon after Sonia announced her decision, sp leader Amar Singh
met Arjun Singh, who is seen as the father of the Kashmir model.
UTTAR PRADESH HALT: Sonia
at Varanasi's Kashi Vishwanath Temple. Mulayam is lobbying for a tie-up,
but Sonia is not forthcoming.
The big question is: will the new doctrine allow the party to form pre-electoral
alliances at the national level and in states where it is weak? According
to former Uttar Pradesh Congress Committee president Salman Khursheed,
the Congress "might take a secondary position in the government,
but we won't play a secondary role in governance". "We are not
looking forward to repeating an NDA experiment at the Centre. We are confident
of getting a majority on our own," he declares.
Which is why party workers insist that Congress should play solo to
regain its supremacy in big states like Uttar Pradesh. And during her
recent tour of the state, Sonia reiterated her party's commitment to the
Pachmarhi Declaration as far as Uttar Pradesh is concerned. The party's
coalition policy is guided by the Pachmarhi Declaration and the Bangalore
aicc session resolution. At the 1998 brainstorming session at Pachmarhi,
the party committed itself to restoring its primacy in national affairs
and decided it would accede to coalitions only if it did not weaken the
party. The AICC resolution, three years later, allowed the Congress to
enter coalition governments only in the secular cause.
Still, even the Bangalore resolution will not be able to justify a tie-up
with the SP in Lucknow. Despite party President Mulayam Singh Yadav's
admission that Sonia's citizenship question has been settled by the Supreme
Court, Congressmen-and its leader-can't forget Mulayam's anti-Sonia remarks.
So, is the Kashmir model a qualitative shift or an inevitable surrender?
Take this from NCP leader P.A. Sangma: "The truth is, Mufti had left
the Congress with very little choice."
Personally for Sonia, Kashmir was a display of leadership. It rid her
of the image of being power-hungry that she acquired when the Vajpayee
Government was voted out by a single vote in 1999. The inheritor of a
party that knows the price of absolute power, Sonia has now inaugurated
a doctrine in which the power of the Congress is relative.
THE SRINAGAR COUP Man in Mufti
HIGH
& DRY:Supporters
at a rally addressed by Congress' chief ministerial candidate Azad
It is a short time in history but a long stretch in the life of a politician.
For that moment on Saturday (November 2), the day of his swearing in as
the seventh chief minister of Jammu and Kashmir, Mufti Mohammed Sayeed
had waited for 25 years, seven months and seven days.
In March 1977, five days after the Congress was routed in the Lok Sabha
elections, as PCC president Mufti was instrumental in withdrawing support
to the Sheikh Abdullah government and staked claim to form a Congress
ministry. But with the change of guard in Delhi, the then governor L.K.
Jha declined to oblige and imposed governor's rule.
Mufti took no chances this time. For a fortnight after the elections,
he waged a war of nerves with the Congress high command. Refusing to yield
the chief ministership to a claimant from Jammu, he held three massive
rallies-in Ganderbal, Badgam and Anantnag-to showcase his mandate in the
Valley. The rallies briefly cast the Congress as a power-hungry party
that was insensitive to Kashmiri sentiment. He supplemented his intransigence
with polite parleys with old influential friends in the Congress such
as Arjun Singh and exploited their distrust in PCC President Ghulam Nabi
Azad's ability to govern the state.
What however clinched the top job for Mufti was neither his tough talk
nor the intra-Congress intrigues. The Congress, which believed it had
a lead in the numbers game, was forced to blink when it could not buy
the MLAs of Mufti's People's Democratic Party (PDP). The 16 PDP members,
who won because of the support of the Hizb-ul-Mujahideen and Jamaat-e-Islami,
refused to cross over as they feared reprisals from the militant groups.
Nonetheless, the Congress did not yield to Mufti until it had forged
an agenda for governance. It treated the three-year rotational chief ministership,
deputy chief ministership, key portfolios and the coordination committee
as minor matters compared to the 31-point common minimum programme (CMP).
Mufti had to make a lot of effort to convince the Congress that he would
not compromise on national interests. In a written submission to Manmohan
Singh, Mufti assured him that his soft approach on tackling militancy
was only a poll plank. He was, however, firm on disbanding the dreaded
counter-militancy Special Operations Group (SOG).
CONCERNS
Restoration of honour and dignity of Kashmiris.
Review of cases of detainees without trial.
Rehabilitation of former militants and victims.
Redeployment of SOG in the state police.
No implementation of POTA.
Crackdown on cross-border terrorism.
Since the Congress did not have much of a poll plank, it did not see
any harm in making the CMP people friendly. The disbanding of the SOG,
however, is worrying the security forces. "Deactivation of SOG will
make a difference because it was the source of information for the armed
forces." says Lt-General V.G. Patankar, corps commander, 15 Corps.
But Supreme Court lawyer Ashok Bhan, who assisted Mufti in his talks with
the Congress, disagrees. "After all, even the Election Commission
had sent the SOG to the barracks during the polls," he points out.
The CMP's soft approach to militants is not worrying Delhi either. "The
CMP is addressing Kashmiris not Pakistan or the world. It has to offer
hope, peace and governance," points out a PMO official.
Mufti is aware that the CMP has raised public expectations. "People
should realise we don't have a magic wand to fulfil all wishes overnight,"
he warns. The CMP has hijacked the agenda of both the Centre and the separatists.
Little surprise then that a top Hurriyat Conference leader lobbied hard
with the Congress till the last day to scuttle Mufti's prospects.
By acceding
to PDP pressure in Jammu and Kashmir, the Congress has signalled a reorientation
in its policy on sharing power
On October
26, Congress President Sonia Gandhi took a leaf out of the BJP's book.
For long, the Congress' concept of a coalition meant a more-than-equal
role for the party. Now Sonia has not only accepted the idea of rotational
chief ministership as perfected by the BJP in Uttar Pradesh, she has also
announced that Mufti Mohammed Sayeed of the People's Democratic Party
would head the coalition government for the first three years in Jammu
and Kashmir.
In one stroke, Sonia frittered away the electoral gains of the party
in the state, the first in many years. If she had to take such a decision
in "the larger national interest", wouldn't it have been better
to have made it in the first few days of the historic elections? At least
the party would not have appeared so frustrated.
GIVING WAY: (From
left) JKPCC chief Ghulam Nabi Azad, Sonia and the Mufti
There is this worry in Congress circles: Sonia's Jammu and Kashmir model
could herald new crises in Congress-led coalition governments in Maharashtra
and Kerala. What if the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) in Maharashtra
and United Front constituents in Kerala demand a stint in the chief minister's
office? "Would Sharad Pawar be acceptable to the Congress leadership
since he may be best suited to manage Maharashtra's affairs? The Kashmir
pattern has raised more questions about the party's coalition policy than
it answers," says a Congress MP.
Senior Congress leaders wished away these questions by suggesting that
the Kashmir decision was made in an extraordinary situation. "The
decision speaks of Sonia's visionary approach to the Kashmir situation,"
insists Congress Working Committee member Arjun Singh, who was instrumental
in persuading the party president to back Mufti. AICC General Secretary
Kamal Nath endorses: "The Kashmir decision has not changed our approach
to coalition politics. Sonia only revealed her vision for the state."
It is true that this is not the first time the party is taking a secondary
role in the state. After the signing of the 1975 Indira Gandhi-Sheikh
Abdullah accord, Chief Minister Mir Qasim resigned to make way for the
Sheikh. The National Conference did not have a single MLA then and the
Congress vacated the Ganderbal seat for the Sheikh. For 11 years, the
party followed a similar pattern in Mizoram after the Rajiv-Laldenga accord.
Sonia is only keeping up the family tradition, argue some senior leaders.
The Congress it seems has finally overcome its coalition phobia. The
Samajwadi Party (SP), which is working overtime to wreck the Mayawati
Government in Uttar Pradesh, is hoping to benefit from the Sonia doctrine.
That is why soon after Sonia announced her decision, sp leader Amar Singh
met Arjun Singh, who is seen as the father of the Kashmir model.
UTTAR PRADESH HALT: Sonia
at Varanasi's Kashi Vishwanath Temple. Mulayam is lobbying for a tie-up,
but Sonia is not forthcoming.
The big question is: will the new doctrine allow the party to form pre-electoral
alliances at the national level and in states where it is weak? According
to former Uttar Pradesh Congress Committee president Salman Khursheed,
the Congress "might take a secondary position in the government,
but we won't play a secondary role in governance". "We are not
looking forward to repeating an NDA experiment at the Centre. We are confident
of getting a majority on our own," he declares.
Which is why party workers insist that Congress should play solo to
regain its supremacy in big states like Uttar Pradesh. And during her
recent tour of the state, Sonia reiterated her party's commitment to the
Pachmarhi Declaration as far as Uttar Pradesh is concerned. The party's
coalition policy is guided by the Pachmarhi Declaration and the Bangalore
aicc session resolution. At the 1998 brainstorming session at Pachmarhi,
the party committed itself to restoring its primacy in national affairs
and decided it would accede to coalitions only if it did not weaken the
party. The AICC resolution, three years later, allowed the Congress to
enter coalition governments only in the secular cause.
Still, even the Bangalore resolution will not be able to justify a tie-up
with the SP in Lucknow. Despite party President Mulayam Singh Yadav's
admission that Sonia's citizenship question has been settled by the Supreme
Court, Congressmen-and its leader-can't forget Mulayam's anti-Sonia remarks.
So, is the Kashmir model a qualitative shift or an inevitable surrender?
Take this from NCP leader P.A. Sangma: "The truth is, Mufti had left
the Congress with very little choice."
Personally for Sonia, Kashmir was a display of leadership. It rid her
of the image of being power-hungry that she acquired when the Vajpayee
Government was voted out by a single vote in 1999. The inheritor of a
party that knows the price of absolute power, Sonia has now inaugurated
a doctrine in which the power of the Congress is relative.
THE SRINAGAR COUP Man in Mufti
HIGH
& DRY:Supporters
at a rally addressed by Congress' chief ministerial candidate Azad
It is a short time in history but a long stretch in the life of a politician.
For that moment on Saturday (November 2), the day of his swearing in as
the seventh chief minister of Jammu and Kashmir, Mufti Mohammed Sayeed
had waited for 25 years, seven months and seven days.
In March 1977, five days after the Congress was routed in the Lok Sabha
elections, as PCC president Mufti was instrumental in withdrawing support
to the Sheikh Abdullah government and staked claim to form a Congress
ministry. But with the change of guard in Delhi, the then governor L.K.
Jha declined to oblige and imposed governor's rule.
Mufti took no chances this time. For a fortnight after the elections,
he waged a war of nerves with the Congress high command. Refusing to yield
the chief ministership to a claimant from Jammu, he held three massive
rallies-in Ganderbal, Badgam and Anantnag-to showcase his mandate in the
Valley. The rallies briefly cast the Congress as a power-hungry party
that was insensitive to Kashmiri sentiment. He supplemented his intransigence
with polite parleys with old influential friends in the Congress such
as Arjun Singh and exploited their distrust in PCC President Ghulam Nabi
Azad's ability to govern the state.
What however clinched the top job for Mufti was neither his tough talk
nor the intra-Congress intrigues. The Congress, which believed it had
a lead in the numbers game, was forced to blink when it could not buy
the MLAs of Mufti's People's Democratic Party (PDP). The 16 PDP members,
who won because of the support of the Hizb-ul-Mujahideen and Jamaat-e-Islami,
refused to cross over as they feared reprisals from the militant groups.
Nonetheless, the Congress did not yield to Mufti until it had forged
an agenda for governance. It treated the three-year rotational chief ministership,
deputy chief ministership, key portfolios and the coordination committee
as minor matters compared to the 31-point common minimum programme (CMP).
Mufti had to make a lot of effort to convince the Congress that he would
not compromise on national interests. In a written submission to Manmohan
Singh, Mufti assured him that his soft approach on tackling militancy
was only a poll plank. He was, however, firm on disbanding the dreaded
counter-militancy Special Operations Group (SOG).
CONCERNS
Restoration of honour and dignity of Kashmiris.
Review of cases of detainees without trial.
Rehabilitation of former militants and victims.
Redeployment of SOG in the state police.
No implementation of POTA.
Crackdown on cross-border terrorism.
Since the Congress did not have much of a poll plank, it did not see
any harm in making the CMP people friendly. The disbanding of the SOG,
however, is worrying the security forces. "Deactivation of SOG will
make a difference because it was the source of information for the armed
forces." says Lt-General V.G. Patankar, corps commander, 15 Corps.
But Supreme Court lawyer Ashok Bhan, who assisted Mufti in his talks with
the Congress, disagrees. "After all, even the Election Commission
had sent the SOG to the barracks during the polls," he points out.
The CMP's soft approach to militants is not worrying Delhi either. "The
CMP is addressing Kashmiris not Pakistan or the world. It has to offer
hope, peace and governance," points out a PMO official.
Mufti is aware that the CMP has raised public expectations. "People
should realise we don't have a magic wand to fulfil all wishes overnight,"
he warns. The CMP has hijacked the agenda of both the Centre and the separatists.
Little surprise then that a top Hurriyat Conference leader lobbied hard
with the Congress till the last day to scuttle Mufti's prospects.