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Singapore
Prime Minister Goh Chok Tong was magnanimous at the first ever India-ASEAN
summit when he described India as a wing that was needed for the ASEAN
jumbo jet to fly in all weather conditions. The other wing, according
to him, was formed by China, Japan and South Korea. But the fact is that
China has already become the engine for the ASEAN jet by forging a pact
with 10 ASEAN countries to usher in the world's largest free-trade zone
by 2008. It will have 1.7 billion consumers and a combined economy of
$2 trillion (about 22 times India's foreign trade).
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Vajpayee with Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen and Indonesian
President Megawati
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Beijing struck the deal a day before Prime Minister A.B. Vajpayee proposed
a similar free-trade zone. It is obvious that India has been sluggish
in taking initiatives with the ASEAN and has lost out to China. The trade
figures tell the story. India-ASEAN trade is pegged at a measly $10 billion
after a decade of Delhi's proactive Look East policy, while China-ASEAN
trade has climbed to $38 billion during the same period. Beijing developed
links with ASEAN through its 2000 Kunming initiative. India followed suit
by forging the Ganga-Mekong Cooperation (GMC) with Vietnam, Thailand,
Cambodia, Myanmar and Laos later that year. While the China initiative
led to manifold increase in trade, the Indian move has been a non-starter
with only one meeting of the GMC countries held to date. Delhi really
needs to move fast on the ASEAN track.
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