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ISSUE DECEMBER 16, 2002
DIPLOMACY: PUTIN VISIT
Russia Hour
Putin's focused approach to his hurried third
summit with Vajpayee brings a great deal of pragmatism in relations between
the two countries
by Raj Chengappa
When Boris
Yeltsin ruled Russia not so long ago, bets were placed in Moscow on how
many days he would attend office in a week and on whether he would come
in sober. In contrast, his handpicked successor Vladimir Putin, a martial
arts specialist and a former kgb spy, is discipline personified. A teetotaller,
Putin believes in keeping regular hours, stays focused and businesslike
in his dealings and exudes an air of confidence.
Last week, when the Russian President flew into Delhi for a summit meeting
with Prime Minister A.B. Vajpayee, his efficient and clinical approach
saw a record amount of official business being transacted in the 15 working
hours that he had. Putin impressed his Indian hosts with what a senior
Ministry of External Affairs official described as "his relaxed,
soft-spoken, non-evasive and forthright style". The only amusing
moment came when Putin asked for tea during his one-to-one meeting with
Vajpayee. His security staff used vodka as a disinfectant to rinse his
mug. The President just shrugged his shoulder in resignation.
Guarding Interests:
Russian President Putin is welcomed in Delhi by a ceremonial guard
of honour; (below) with Vajpayee
REALITY CHECK
Upside
Putin's strong words against Pakistan's machinations, joint working
group on terrorism, new declaration to boost economic relations and
convergence on Iraq.
Downside
Stagnation on trade, bottlenecks in defence deals, corrupt bureaucracy,
strategic triangle with China seen as unrealistic, and racial violence
against Indians in Moscow.
Surprising as it may seem, one of the biggest achievement of the visit
is, as Foreign Secretary Kanwal Sibal points out, that "the two countries
found time to maintain the regularity of such a high-level contact".
It is the third summit between Vajpayee and Putin in a little more than
two years. This is in sharp contrast to the erratic ties India had with
Russia when Yeltsin was at the helm. Given that the Russian system of
governance continues to be formal and hierarchical with most decisions
left to the President, it was important for India to have Putin constantly
oversee the bilateral relations himself. As he told Vajpayee, "We
made a lot of progress in our relationship in these two years. And we
should not stop. We must keep building on it and make it move even faster."
Putin, 50, was noticeably deferential to Vajpayee whom he regards as
an elder statesman. Despite the 28-year age difference between the two
leaders, they enjoy a comfortable relationship. Vajpayee demonstrated
that friendship by calling Putin for a private dinner that included his
favourite kebabs on the day he arrived. The next day when the two leaders
met they carried on their one-to-one discussions for more than the proposed
45 minutes. An animated Putin discussed an entire gamut of issues with
Vajpayee without hedging on any of his statements. The two leaders waived
aside the delegation-level meeting that was to follow and headed straight
for the podium to sign the declaration on "Further Consolidation
of the Strategic Relationship" between India and Russia. The fitter
Putin bobbed up and down on his chair thrice as he waited for Vajpayee
to be seated.
Perhaps the key outcome of this summit was that the two sides finally
got down to doing something to improve the abysmally low trade between
the two countries that has remained stagnant at $1.4 billion (Rs 6,750
crore) for the past three years. External Affairs Minister Yashwant Sinha
candidly admits that "our current trade and economic relations with
Russia completely fail to reflect the potential that exists and it is
a challenge we have to face squarely". For a start, Russia has agreed
to use the $3 billion (Rs 14,475 crore) that India owes it as debts from
the past to fund joint ventures in the fields of telecommunication, aluminium
and information technology.
Yet the problem continues to be Indian business' obvious lack of interest
in investing in Russia. During his luncheon meeting with the honchos of
cii and ficci, Putin pointed out that the Russian economy had been growing
at a healthy 4 per cent and in some sectors like energy and metallurgy
by as much as 8 per cent. The Russian President urged Indian industry
to make use of the "new opportunities" being thrown up. Sinha
made a more direct appeal, saying, "Please go to Russia, there is
a huge market waiting." But Indian businessmen continue to be wary
of the Russian mafia that has an iron grip on many of the key industrial
sectors apart from corruption in the bureaucracy which rivals that in
India. The spate of racial targeting by fanatics that has seen even Indians
being murdered in Moscow subways recently hasn't helped matters.
As significant as the economic component was Putin's open denunciation
of Pakistan for abetting terror in the region and coming out in clear
support of India's stand against its neighbour. After the recent hostage
crisis in Moscow, Putin has been especially harsh on Pakistan. With the
continuing unrest in Chechnya and also the fact that Russia has a 19 per
cent Muslim population-a much higher proportion than India-Putin's concerns
are understandable.
Although Russia does not have the clout that the US wields over the region,
it is a big help for India to have a major power coming out openly in
its support. Especially with America repeatedly lauding Pakistan President
Pervez Musharraf for his "courage". There are some sections
though that believe Russia is working in tandem with the US to bring pressure
on Pakistan to rein in its jehadis. With India and Russia setting up a
high-level joint working group on terrorism there would be greater co-ordination
between the two countries on this front. On Iraq, there was a convergence
of interest with both sides reiterating that they were against any unilateral
military action by the US and to give Saddam Hussein a fair chance to
come clean-something that had US diplomats gnashing their teeth.
What has emerged from the frequent interaction between the two countries
is the great degree of pragmatism. Russia shows no jealousy that India
now shares a deep relationship with the US, something that would have
been sacrilegious in the past. Also despite all the talk of forming a
strategic triangle among Russia, China and India, Putin knows that at
the moment such a tie-up is an unrealistic proposition. Though no military
deals were signed during the visit, India's defence ties with Russia continue
to be strong and robust. As Putin pointed out gently in one of his meetings
with the Indian delegation, "We match our word with deeds."
Indeed.