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ISSUE APRIL 07, 2003
NEIGHBOURS: NEPAL
King's Way
Even as Gyanendra goes about taking the right
decisions, his stance on democracy worries India.
As
one whose actions on earth are co-sponsored by Lord Vishnu, it is incumbent
on every Nepalese monarch to pay respects at the dhams of Hindu pilgrimage
in India. King Gyanendra's appointment with a seer last week only made
him more determined to rule Nepal his way-India notwithstanding.
Visiting Delhi barely eight months after his first visit (disregarding
protocol), a quasi-private trip that the Ministry of External Affairs
upgraded to official status, the king's sojourn was calculated to escape
notice.
STATE VISIT: Gyanendra with Swami Jayendra
Saraswati
South Block mandarins, used to dealing with the easygoing late King Birendra,
waited for Gyanendra to "reassure" them and dispel India's suspicions
regarding his monarchist ways. The king's lip service to democracy barely
hid his intentions that almost shocked India. Later, the talks were described
as "frank and candid", measpeak for grave disagreement.
The MEA's democracy pitch left Gyanendra unmoved as he informed Prime
Minister A.B. Vajpayee that while he had no objections to a multi-party
system, until he decided otherwise the current dispensation would continue.
Peace talks with the Maoists would have to be within this rubric.
The problem with the MEA's democracy line is it flies in the face of
political disunity among the Nepalese parties and the king's demonstrated
success with the Maoists. In the correct manner in which he keeps India
informed, the king explained to Vajpayee that he would soon start informal
discussions with the Maoists (no timelines given) and depending on the
success, follow up with formal dialogue. Unexceptionable, except the MEA's
prescriptions have not found fertile ground.
With a January 29 cease-fire under his belt, Gyanendra has achieved
his immediate objective of cooling temperatures. Although the cease-fire
was a logical end to his withdrawal of the Terrorist Act and Interpol
Red Corner notices against the Maoists, it took India by surprise. Any
suspicion that it was a gimmick was put to rest when the Maoists formed
a negotiating committee in record time. The king's panel even succeeded
in drafting a code of conduct that the Maoists signed on March 13.
An active interest in Nepal's affairs by India
is not ruled out.
Last week's talks with the king clearly did not go the way India intended.
If anything, Gyanendra has added to MEA's worries-for while he appears
to be taking the right decisions, Delhi finds the lack of democracy galling.
The democracy argument, Indian officials say, is not as hare-brained as
many believe it to be. The insistence on the concurrence of parties is
premised on the belief that an elected government will implement any deal
with the Maoists. An indication of how far India is from the king's position
was clear when he hinted that such an eventuality might not happen.
As everybody-from the US and UK to Norway, Belgium, Switzerland and
even the UN-try their hand at solving the crisis, their concerns have
been less about democracy than ensuring the Maoists are crushed. They
have also been less than impressed with the way Nepal's parties have conducted
themselves. India says it has taken months of determined diplomacy to
"sensitise" them to the importance of the return of democracy.
Meanwhile, India's alarm about enhanced international involvement has
not passed the king by. Conceding India's concerns, Gyanendra told Vajpayee
he had rejected third party mediation as India itself has closed the door
on it. South Block insists on details like "political empowerment"
of Nepal's western districts before closing a deal with Maoists, but runs
the risk of being accused of micromanagement. Delhi has its own vision
of political stability in Nepal and heightened security interests might
impel a more active interest in Nepal's internal affairs. Piqued Indian
officials complain that Nepal always plays both sides-wanting Indian involvement,
yet crying foul when it is offered.
For the present, India will swallow its displeasure at the infamous
Article 127 that the king used to dissolve Parliament-and let him follow
his political muse.