As
land hassles stem the flow of NRI investment in Punjab, the Government
takes steps to ease the legal woes of expatriates.
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rampant misuse of the Dalit Act in Uttar Pradesh has a larger malaise behind
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INDIA
TODAY HINDI
CURRENT
ISSUE APRIL 21, 2003
COVER STORY: REBUILDING A NATION
Spoils of War
Corporate India will need
diplomatic backing and alliances with US companies to board the post-war
reconstruction gravy train.
By
Shankkar Aiyar
In
the last week of march California Congressman Darrell Issa shot off a
missive to Secretary of Defence Donald Rumsfeld and USAID Administrator
Ambassador Wendy Chamberlain. His mission: to prevent US Armed Forces
and the US Reconstruction and Civil Affairs Office from deploying a cell-phone
system in Iraq based on GSM (Groupe Speciale Mobile) as the ploughback
would flow to France and other European countries. Instead, Issa urged
the Department of Defence to opt for US-developed CDMA technology. The
aim: to ensure that US companies like Qualcomm got the dividends from
post-war Iraq.
FROM THE ASHES: Rebuilding post-Saddam Iraq
could cost at least $150 billion
It is early days as yet but the race to get a slice of the action is
on. Estimates of the potential spend in the reconstruction of post-war
Iraq vary between $25 billion (Rs 1,20,000 crore)and $400 billion. Rubar
Sandi, an Iraqi exile who heads the Washington dc-based US-Iraq Business
Council has in his approximation to the US State Department and USAID
stated that at the most conservative levels it could cost as much as $150
billion to put Iraq back on the rails. As of now, the US Government has
set aside $3.5 billion for reconstruction and $500 million for humanitarian
aid.
As in the 1940s, the contracts are controlled by the US and the initial
deals doled out to US corporations have triggered outrage. Chris Patten,
head of the EU's external relations, has slammed the Bush Plan as "maladroit"
and hinted that EU would not contribute to the rebuilding of Iraq. Obviously,
lobbying for a seat at the party is only beginning. Last week, even as
sirens were going off in Kuwait, Swashpawan Singh, Indian ambassador,
convened a meeting of CII and FICCI representatives in the Gulf to see
how Indian companies could "participate" in Iraq's reconstruction
and rehabilitation. India may not have got much out of the rebuilding
of Kuwait in 1991 or Afghanistan ($14 million in a total spend of $900
million). But the story in Iraq is bound to be different. It is an economy
that is much bigger and has seen greater devastation. Also there are no
geographical and geopolitical hurdles here. In fact India has already
acquired orders worth $1 billion under the food-for-oil programme while
products worth $250 million have already been shipped and paid for.
IRAQ UNPLUGGED: Getting Iraq connected could
cost $ 5 billion
Another positive aspect is that India has had long-standing trade relations
with Iraq. Amit Mitra, secretary-general, FICCI, says Indian businesses
have had a significant level of interface with Iraq. "Indian companies
have executed big projects, built roads, highways and bridges," he
says. "BHEL is in the process of executing a Rs 550-crore project
for building turbines for power generation. PCP, the construction company
with interests in West Asia, has executed roads and highway projects.
Builders like Ansal and Som Dutt have been involved with construction
activities." Indeed, CII has short-listed a dozen Indian companies
(ranging from construction majors like Larsen & Toubro and Hindustan
Construction Company to telecom outfits like TCIL). As Tony Jashanmal
of Jashanmal and Partners, which runs a large chain of stores across the
Gulf, says, "Indians have the ability and acceptability in Iraq that
would give them a headstart."
Indian corporates are already working the ropes. Says Essar Vice-Chairman
Ravi Ruia: "Steel will be a major requirement and given our presence
in the region we are looking at the opportunities." So is cement
and construction outfit L&T. A. Ramakrishna, deputy MD and head of
the engineering and construction division, L&T, is emphatic: "We
have done work there and you bet we will be there."
SLICE OF THE PIE Post-war Iraq offers a multi-billion
dollar
opportunity for INdian companies
TELECOM With communication centres bombed and equipment
that badly requires upgradation, Post-Saddam Iraq could present
a $5 b plus market for phones and software.
SEAPORTS Basically, Umm Qasr. Stevedoring Services of America
already bags a $4.8 m contract for damage assessment. Coming up:
tenders worth $300 m for upgradation of the port's facilities.
OIL & POWER Could cost $5 b initially and over $30 b in
the long term if the reserves are to work. Add: Repair of 10 major
power plants and restoration of grid links.
AIRPORTS Iraq has 74 airports in all, including six major
airports. Restoration of all air links to southern, central and
northern Iraq means an initial spend of $500 m.
ROADS & HIGHWAYS Repair and reconstruction
of the over 4,000-km network of roads and bridges in Iraq presents
an opportunity to Indian construction companies.
SCHOOLS & HOSPITALS Besides restoration of over 25,000 schools,
200 hospitals and 2,000 health centres, Iraq also needs staff, which
the US plans to outsource from other countries.
India, says K.V. Kamath, CEO and MD, ICICI Bank, has immense potential
in post-war Iraq as "it is extremely cost competitive now, be it
in infrastructure or services such as education and health". And
he wants his clients to seize that opportunity. As Arun Patankar, principal
adviser, CII, indicates, while Indian companies may not match the size
of American MNCs "it has expertise and the skilled human pool to
execute projects". India with its large reserve of skilled manpower
can tap opportunities not just in mega projects but also in the creation
of social infrastructure like schools and hospitals. Dubai-based Raza
Siddiqui, director (Middle East operations), Apollo Hospitals Group, agrees.
"We are keen to go to Iraq and can swing into operation fairly quickly."
Medical care groups like Apollo would be ideally placed to set up healthcare
centres and super-speciality hospitals for advanced medical care, including
tele-medicine.
But to capitalise on its strengths, "India will need to first position
itself appropriately with a mix of economic diplomacy and alliances with
multinational bidders", says Vimal Bhandari, executive director,
IL&Fs. The opportunity is huge. Gori Khandelwal, chairman, Kuwait
India Business Council and an adviser to Gulf Bank, makes a simple back-of-the-envelope
calculation for a perspective. If the new regime exports its potential
of three million barrels a day it should give them an annual income of
$22 to 25 billion a year. That, Khandelwal says ,"is a lot of money.
The entire region is going to experience a huge boom and India should
jump on the bandwagon quickly".