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INDIA
TODAY HINDI
CURRENT
ISSUE APRIL 21, 2003
INTERVIEW OF THE WEEK: GOH CHOK TONG
"I'm a little impatient with the pace of
relations with India"
The
relaxed environs of the five-star hotel did nothing to curb his impatience
with the slow pace of India's economic reforms. "Too slow,"
bewailed Goh Chok Tong, Singapore's charismatic prime minister and you
could almost imagine him shaking up India's bureaucracy to work faster
and better. You also knew that it was not for nothing that he was considered
the worthy successor to Lee Kuan Yew. Here, in a free-wheeling interview
with
Prabhu Chawla, editor, India Today, Mr Goh
spoke at length about his vision for the Indian economy and how Singapore
could act as a catalyst. Excerpts from the exclusive interview:
REFORMIST AGENDA: Goh feels India must speed
up its economic reforms
Q: This is your fourth visit to India
as the prime minister. Do you think this has been more successful than
your earlier trips?
A: I think they have been equally good.
I came in 1994 and had discussions with Prime Minister P.V. Narasimha
Rao on reforms. That was the beginning of my frequent trips to India.
Q: What do you expect from India?
A: Well, I expect India to perform much
better in its economy. I believe it can do more. I'm not happy with India
in its ability to realise its potential. I believe it can do more. Singapore-India
relations too are on the right course but I am a little impatient. I think
they should move faster.
Q: On a scale of 1 to 10 where would
you place India in its reforms?
A: I am a visitor to your country, I
did not come here to be an auditor or an examiner.
Q: But you're not happy with the speed
A: I'm talking about Singapore where
we want everything to be instant. But having said that, I understand India's
complexity. India has one billion people compared to Singapore's one million
people. So of course our sense of pace and speed is different.
Q: Could you elaborate on CECA and what
is your vision for it?
A: CECA goes beyond the free trade area
and lower tariffs. We will be going into the investment climate of India
and how it can be made more conducive for foreign investments. We're also
looking at the aviation sector. Normally this is outside the purview of
free trade
e the negotiation of CECA in the following way: some early harvests -
what can we do now. One area is in introducing charter services to non-metro
cities. Then what are the other areas that we can do together, maybe in
the IT services. Your IT professionals can work in Singapore.
Q: But will you relax the work permit
rules for our professionals?
A: We will relax rules for professionals.
Our goods attract no tariffs, so we can only offer you services. I think
the IT sector has potential in services and I hope India can set up campuses
in Singapore for post-graduate studies in information technology.
Q: But Indian IT professionals are afraid
of going to Southeast Asia after what happened to them in Malaysia
A: No, Singapore is different. You are
very welcome.
Q: What did you expect from India which
has not happened?
A: Well, opening up the civil aviation
sector. I think that will take another age. I believe if India opens up
its air service sector to all airlines, not just Singapore Airlines, tourism
will flourish. More airlines should fly, more services take place.
Q: But the Indian Government feels that
most foreign governments do not give the same treatment to Air India.
A: No, as far as we are concerned, we
can open up more services to Air India.
Q: But at this moment Singapore Airlines
is flying more flights to India as compared to Air India flights to Singapore?
A: No, you are welcome to have more flights.
Q: What is the reason for the low FDI
in India?
A: If I may put it in the best way possible,
after speaking to various poeple, there seem to be several reasons. First,
the Gordian-knot bureaucracy. You have to cut through that knot, so reforms
introduced by the Government will take some time to filter down. For example
hire but no fire policies will have to be changed. If you hire a person
he's with you for life. That's not the way the world works.
Q: So you want the labour policies to
be changed ...
A: No, I have been told this is one of
the areas which prevents foreign companies from coming i
est.
Q: What do you think of the prime minister?
A: I find him to be clued in on the need
to reform the economy and we get along well as two individuals. A man
of few words, but a man of deep thought.
Q: How much do you think Singapore's
investment will grow in India?
A: We think if we can get this agreement
through and India stays on the reform track, we can generate interest
amounting to $1 billion over the next few years in the private sector.
Investments from governments don't count, it impresses nobody.
Big countries need investments in infrastructure. In that sector, air
services or the creation of air bridges is very important. Somebody wants
to build an airbridge for you at their own cost, why should you object?
You protect an airline, but the cost of that is tourism. If you open up
the country, India in this case, to foreign airlines, these airlines will
contribute to your earnings. What we're thinking of is not just Singaporeans
coming to India. We're looking at this airbridge concept. Singapore has
a lot of air services to India. But we can do more. Singapore can bring
in tourists from Japan, China, Taiwan, Hongkong through Singapore to India.
There are many Buddhist shrines in India. Muslims made their pilgrimages
every year. Buddhists too will come here. Once the airbridge is constructed
tourists will come here, more hotels will be built, roads will be constructed
transportation services will increase. Buddhist tourism is not exploited
in India
Q: Will you give a blueprint to Indian
government?
A: There is no dearth of ideas here.
Q: But the mindset has to be changed.
A: The mindset has changed. At least
at the top level. But can you get the people to change their mindset without
changing the bureaucracy. The people at the top understand free trade,
but the bulk of the people have a protectionist mindset. When it comes
to the crunch they do not want free trade.
Q: You were starting something in Chennai?
What happened to that?
A: Well, Chennai wanted us to set up
a huge industrial park, but it
lity of Singapore. The park would have been as big as Singapore. It is
not possible to do things beyond our resources.
Q: But are you getting enough support
from the Tamil Nadu government?
A: Actually they want us to do more but
we have explained our restrictions.
Q: Are you not big enough to invest in
a country like India?
A: We are not big enough to make a big
difference to India but we can make a huge difference as a catalyst. We
are very careful in our investments overseas. Therefore, if you can get
Singapore investors to come over here, hopefully they will impress other
foreign investors. That if Singapore goes to India there must be something
in India.
Q: WHat are the things our prime minister
needs to do to improve our relationship?
A: I think the first priority would be
to get the economic cooperation agreement going. Then cooperation in terms
of fighting terrorism and defence relations. Of course, there are other
areas of international cooperation where our interests converge.
Q:On terrorism, do you support
India's view on the cross-border issue with Pakistan? A: We are very worried about terrorism.
So far India has a unique problem in terms of cross-border incursions
with Pakistan. That is what India worries about, but terrorism generally
is cross-border.
Q: India is under pressure from th US
and Britain to start a dialogue with Pakistan. But India feels that without
stopping cross-border terrorism we cannot start a dialogue. Where do you
stand?
A: Our stand is that the matter should
be resolved peacefully and we would want India to work on a dialogue with
Pakistan.
Q: Do you think India can put a precondition
on stopping cross-border terrorism. Is it justified?
A: Well, this is a position that India
has taken but I do not know whether they can get a dialogue going.
Q: Do you see this problem in your own
country. Do you think fundamentalist Islam is a threat to world peace?
A: No I would be careful because Islam
by and large is peaceful. I would be more careful over what we qualify
a
entalist Muslim. I would say Muslims who preach violence use violent means
to change governments and societies and society. But by and large Islam
is a peaceful religion.
Q: You are against Muslim fundamentalists
who try to change governments through violence?
A: I have some problem with fundamentalism.
Because it means the basics.
Q: America believes that Iraq is the
source of fundamentalism and mass destruction weapons. Is it justified
in its stand?
A: I don't think that is the US position.
I don't think US regards Iraq as Muslim fundamentalist society. The US
has attacked Iraq for its weapons of mass destruction.
Q: They have not found anything so far
A: So far. But Iraq is a secular society
in the sense that it is more modern than Saudi Arabia.
Q: But the attack on Afghanistan was
an attack on fundamentalism?
A: Because of the Taliban.
Q: Do you support America's stand against
Iraq now?
A: Our position is a simple one. We are
against weapons of mass destruction. So in the UN we took our position
that Iraq must be disarmed. And we were trying to avert the war with Iraq
by stating our position clearly.
Q: After 21 days of war, the US has not
found a single chemical weapon anywhere in Iraq. What do you think?
A: I think we have to take a political
step. The war has taken place on the basis of one thing: to disarm Iraq.
If they find something it would vindicate the position of the US. If they
have not found anything, even then the war has taken place, destruction
has happened. So the focus is on the reconstruction of Iraq, the scenario
after the war
Q: India's stand is you cannot change
the regime by using force, only the people of that country should change
the regime. What's yours?
A: My position is similar to India's.
But SIngapore agrees with the US on disarming a regime which has weapons
of mass destruction.
Q: Do you think after this the world
order will change?
A: The world order has already changed.
Like it or not, the world has recognised the US position. I believe in
the UN. I
al framework.
Q: Can we have a framework in Asia, for
example in ASEAN. Do you think India deserves to be a full member rather
than a dialogue partner?
A: Yes, in the times to come we are in
favour of India being more actively involved in Asean. Singapore was actually
instrumental in getting India into the ASEAN-India summit. We would like
India to be a permanent member of ASEAN but you muct know that in ASEAN
things happen by consensus.
Q: How concerned are you about SARS and
what can be done to tackle it?
A: I am worried about this for a fundamental
reason. We have alerted Indian leaders here that it is a very serious
disease. We have not understood it completely. It is transmitted through
close proximity. It's not airborne but it is very contagious. We're telling
your people, please pay attention and examine passengers coming from SARS-stricken
countries, including Singapore. Before you allow them to disembark, if
somebody has a high fever, dry cough or such symptoms of SARS, then that
person should be taken to hospital and even quarantined. If this spreads
to India, imagine the panic it will cause. The first case that came to
Singapore from Hong Kong was a super-spreader.
Q: Do you expect it to grow?
A: I expect it to grow in a cluster form.
Everytime you think it is under control, it shows up in another cluster.
Hopefully the clusters will become smaller, the frequancy will become
less, but it is a problem we expect to be with the world for many months,
maybe even years.
Q: What kind of a role can India play
in world affairs?
A: India is a big country, but for it
to play a bigger role India must have economic strength. Without it people
don't listen to you carefully, even if you are a big country.
Q; But we are a big market ...
A: Big market but with a high wall. Lower
your tariffs. They are much higher than tariffs in Asean countries. My
point is, India must have confidence in itself. Look at the Indians working
in the US and Singapore. Why can't India exploit its own human resources
potential?
Q: You had made a statement that you
would like Singapore to be a bridge between India and China. How will
you accomplish that?
A: Yes. China is an emerging economy,
so is India, though China started its reforms in 1978. We are situated
in between. Singapore has been investing in China and has trade with China
for years, last 15 years, we have contacts in China. We have also been
dealing with India for the past few years. So we're familiar with the
Indian democracy, problems, and such.
One such way is when we lead a business delegation from Singapore to China,
we could include interested business from India to China - a joint delegation.
The same thing will apply when we come to India.
Then, suppose if India wants to invest in China, India needs to get a
Chinese partner. Then a Singapore party can take an interest in the project
and take a small share in the partnership. So there is the confidence
of the Chinese who may not understand the Indian so much, but can liase
through the Singapore partner.
Q: You said you wanted to see a greater
cooperation in terrorism. How do you see that happening?
A: The first is exchange of intelligence
between the two countries on terrorist activities both in southeast Asia
and in your part of the world. It is possible that we will set up a working
committee on terrorism. Right now the exchanges are informal, but this
is in the process of being discussed. We are thinking about a high level
working committee, maybe headed at the director (joint secretary) level.
This idea was suggested to us by India. It can be formalised and the committee
can meet regularly. Now it meets on a need basis. We want to institutionalise
it.
Q: Southeast Asia is being looked upon
as a growing centre for Islamic fundamentalism activity. Do you think
there is a need for a united approach?
A: I think we should first try and understand
what is happening. People are becoming more
hat has been evident for some time - maybe because the world is moving
too fast, so people are moving to religion. For Islam, the impulses come
from the Middle East, from Saudi Arabia, where the Saudis are exporting
this version of Islam, with funding and through the imams. This has brought
about a change in the Muslims. In comparison to others, when Muslims find
religion, they want to isolate themselves from society. They want to be
on their own - their place and kitchen must be halal and so on. In a multi-racial
society, when one group moves away, then it is a problem. But a small
group among them, and I emphasise a small group, want to change the world
so that the world is like them. They believe that through violence they
can change the country, then the region and finally the world.
Q: Do you think this is a threat to global
peace?
A: I think the world will have to deal
with this over the next 10-20 years. For these people, their job of changing
the world is sanctioned by Allah, but a small group of a few thousands
can create such a lot of problems.
Q: So the money flow has to be cut
A: Definitely. The money issue has to
be looked into. Suspects have to be monitored.
Q: Do you think a multilateral approach
can work on this?
A: The US should be the rightful place,
but it has not been able to do it. Ultimately a few groups of countries
would have to act together to cut off funding for this sort of people.
Q: You said you wanted greater defence
cooperation with India. How do you plan to go about it?
A: We have defence relations with a lot
of other countries. Some countries provide training for our personnel.
India can do a lot of this, and we have different kinds of planes. We
have American F-16s, while yours are the Russian MiGs. Maybe we could
have joint exercises, meet people to build up confidence.
Sea piracy is a big threat for the future. If the economies of the region
don't take off, poor people will take to piracy.