India Today
    CURRENT ISSUE SEPTEMBER 20, 2004
 
   NATION: INDO-PAK TALKS
 
Lost in the Valley

Though India and Pakistan remained on opposite sides of the Kashmir chasm, the dialogue between the two foreign ministers made modest gains while keeping a lid on soaring expectations
 

Even modest progress is worthy of respect," said Foreign Minister Natwar Singh at the end of the two-day talks earlier this week with his Pakistani counterpart Khurshid Mehmood Kasuri. "We have established rapport and mutual trust." It was the best that could have been achieved in the circumstances. The peace train is inching along, but every inch covered is hard won.

  PICTURE SPEAK
HOPE FLOATS: Singh
(left) and Kasuri took
small steps towards
peace

Singh and Kasuri covered their bases with some eloquent grandstanding on the twin issues of terrorism and Jammu and Kashmir. "Cross-border infiltration remains a serious concern, and I have reiterated our concern to Mr Kasuri," said Singh. Kasuri responded in kind. "I suggested ... that regardless of the words we use, we are all aware of what has been the cause of perpetual tension between our two countries ... the issue of Jammu and Kashmir. So I emphasised the centrality of Jammu and Kashmir."

The traditional chasm remained but Kasuri's description of the talks as "affable" was evidence that nobody really believed this would be near resolution yet. Pakistan's flexibility was on show when Kasuri declared that they were willing to forego insisting on Jinnah House for the Pakistan consulate in Mumbai. It is India that will have to take the next step, he said.

The Srinagar-Muzaffarabad bus service may be fraught with political symbolism, but some progress is possible on the Khokhrapar-Munabao rail route, talks for which will be held in October. Both countries will open up group visas for tourists and ease travel for journalists, while Sikh pilgrims will be able to go to Nankana Sahib in Pakistan.

But significant headway has been made in the field of energy. "Officials from our ministries of petroleum and gas will meet later this year to discuss issues of multifarious dimensions," Kasuri said. "My friend Mani (Petroleum Minister Mani Shankar Aiyar) flagged the issue of diesel exports," he added.

Pakistan imports 4.5 million tonnes of diesel every year from Kuwait and other Middle East countries. Delhi has suggested that it could meet the entire requirements of Pakistan by laying a pipeline from Jalandhar to Lahore. This might make it easier for India to agree to an overland gas pipeline from Iran's Assuliyeh fields through Pakistan and into Gujarat. The subject of negotiations and speculation for almost a decade, the pipeline has been hostage to India's relations with its neighbour owing to its reluctance to give Pakistan any opportunity to control India's energy spigot.

Pakistan has suggested formalising the talks between National Security Adviser J.N. Dixit and Pakistan President Pervez Musharraf's Special Adviser Tariq Aziz, along Sino-Indian lines, primarily to discuss the Kashmir issue. India has repeatedly thrown the Sino-Indian model at Pakistan, suggesting that Pakistan should allow progress on all fronts without prejudice to the Kashmir question. There has been no official Indian reaction to Pakistan's proposal, but sources indicate that India is unlikely to agree to it. "The Dixit-Aziz talks are successful precisely because of their unofficial status. Formalising them would kill the purpose," say officials.

The surest sign of progress is not in the areas of "agreement" but in the more important but intangible realm of managing expectations. India-Pakistan meetings have always been hostage to whipped-up hopes. But it is dawning on people on both sides of the border that big-ticket breakthroughs are out and if the Indo-Pak peace story slips from front-page headlines, it is probably for the best.

This reality check was provided by US Secretary of State Colin Powell as well. Reacting to the Singh-Kasuri talks, Powell said, "Kashmir is a very difficult issue." So there will be no fireworks on the horizon when Prime Minister Manmohan Singh meets Musharraf in New York later this month. In his first press conference Manmohan was very clear about his agenda-it is a getting-to-know-you exercise. The Pakistani side is keen that some "forward movement" is shown on Jammu and Kashmir at the summit. Manmohan is due to meet his Pakistani counterpart Shaukat Aziz in November and will catch up with both Aziz and Musharraf at the SAARC summit in Dhaka in January 2005. In fact it was precisely to underscore the importance of the prime minister that Kasuri was denied a meeting with Congress Party President Sonia Gandhi. Musharraf's phone call to Sonia and his invitation to Pakistan had become a political tussle, particularly between Singh and Manmohan.

The talks have ensured that for the next year at least, the dialogue process will continue. Over the coming months, India has its work cut out. Not only will it have to push the boundaries on people-to-people and trade contacts with Pakistan, prolonging the ceasefire will enable India to complete the loc fencing project. Within Jammu and Kashmir India will have to, in Manmohan's words, "think out of the box" by finding ways to counter Pakistan's stranglehold over the Hurriyat.

The foreign secretaries are due to meet in December. The parameters for the relationship are slowly being turned around. The process has become the product of peace.

   INTERVIEW: KHURSHID MEHMOOD KASURI
"We remain positive"
Khurshid Mehmood Kasuri, Pakistan's affable foreign minister, spoke at length to Editor Prabhu Chawla and Managing Editor Raj Chengappa about his assessment of the ministerial level talks between India and Pakistan.

Q. What have you been able to achieve in this current visit?
A.
The purpose of this meeting was to take stock of the composite dialogue and the items that we have made some progress on. We have proposed some new ones too like introducing tourist visas. It is revolutionary in the context of the history of Indo-Pak relations where even if you had to visit the Himalayan mountain ranges in the north of Pakistan you had to invent a relative. That won't happen. On trade too we have agreed to set up a committee to establish a level-playing field. We remain positive.

Q. On the Kashmir issue, has there been any forward movement?
A.
Unfortunately, the differences persist. Pakistan has one point of view and India has a different one. The idea is to try and bridge the differences.

  PICTURE SPEAK

Q. Do explain what the Kashmir dispute is really about.
A.
The dispute is very clear. Your Government knows it, your public knows it. And I challenge that you ask a Class IV student in south India or in northern Pakistan why India and Pakistan fought these wars-they will tell you it is Kashmir.

Q. You insist on speaking only to the Hurriyat and not to the elected leaders in Kashmir like Chief Minister Mufti Mohammed Sayeed and Omar Abdullah. Why not?
A.
First of all you have to start from a certain premise which was that there was to be a plebiscite in Kashmir to determine its future which has not been held. India has its own point of view on that and we have our own. For India to resolve the issue we have to find some method because we are a party to it. You can have 2,000 elections, it doesn't bother us. The whole effort is to find out some acceptable mode of determining the aspirations of the people of Kashmir. Not just for moralistic or legalistic reasons but for a practical one because we want to put an end to this dispute between us. We tried three wars but found that war is not an option. Now the only other option is to talk.

Q. Does it mean talking to Kashmiris of your choice or of India's?
A.
No. Once the governments of India and Pakistan decide what mechanism is to be used to determine the aspirations then whoever they decide, whatever method or model that they agree upon will be followed. Common sense would demand that it involve all the Kashmiris and not restrict it to Abdullah or Geelani. It is not a question of your favourites or mine.

Q. Would you allow us to talk to any of the PoK Kashmiri leaders?
A.
Yes, absolutely.

Q. Even to Sindh rebel groups?
A.
No. We are not talking to anybody in north-east India or others. These are not international disputes like Kashmir. It is not our business.

Q. What exactly did you tell the Government about the way you wanted the talks to proceed?
A.
Actually we have not moved that far. We have only agreed to allow the contact of people on both sides of the loc and we have to work out the modalities, including how to start the bus service between Muzaffarabad and Srinagar. It is a small step.

Q. Is there any difference of approach between the previous Indian government and the new one?
A.
President Musharraf and A.B. Vajpayee showed a lot of courage-they were the first to do it. That is why I was unhappy with the title of your previous week's cover story ("General Mischief", September 13). I request the Indian media to provide competing points of view. We are reassured that both Mrs Gandhi and Dr Manmohan Singh have issued statements giving importance to the peace process as has Mr Natwar Singh.

Q. When Prime Minister Manmohan Singh met you, he expressed concerns about the rise in infiltration in recent months.
A.
Pakistan's record of cracking down on terrorism has been internationally acknowledged. The previous argument was that the government of Pakistan encouraged infiltration by letting loose artillery barrage on the border and using it as a cover for people to get in. But that is not happening. In addition to the ceasefire, you have multi-layered fencing with sensory devices and yet people are getting through. Perhaps the reports that the Indian Government have been given are exaggerated.

Q. Have you reassured the Government of India again that you will take steps to curb infiltration?
A.
We have reassured the Government that we will take steps. We are very serious about this. I also pointed out that anybody who is prepared to kill himself is not getting instructions from President Musharraf or Yasser Arafat or whoever. These people have their own mission. So, if a large number of people are not to go in a certain direction we need to hold out hope. When Pakistan and India talk about this purposefully the extremists will be discouraged and we will achieve our purpose.

Q. After this round, do you think there can be progress on Kashmir?
A.
I can say there is hope.

Index

CURRENT ISSUE
SEPTEMBER 20, 2004
 IN THIS ISSUE
COVER STORY

What Men Want

Libido In Knots

Squeezing Desire

Gujaratis And Their Bedtime Soirees

Sex On The Run
 
OTHER STORIES
  Numbers Game

Lost in the Valley

Sanyasin's Flag March

New World Order

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