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INDIA TODAY
    CURRENT ISSUE MARCH 13, 2006
 
    ELECTION 2006: WEST BENGAL
 
The Buddha is SMILING

Elections to state assemblies seldom hold interest beyond their region's borders. But the impending elections in five states hold the potential for a greater impact simply because in two of them-Kerala and West Bengal-the Congress is directly pitted against the Left Front, which props up the UPA Government at the Centre. Whichever way the verdict goes, the ruling coalition in Delhi cannot be insulated from the results that come in from the south and east.
 
  PICTURE SPEAK
RIGHT TURN: Bhattacharya is busy wooing investors and industrialists
The contrast couldn't have been more marked. A television news channel ad proclaims in red that Kolkata is incomplete without protests (protibaad chhara Kolkata hoyna). A Trinamool Congress banner close by speaks on the same lines, the red conspicuously absent, that polling in West Bengal is incomplete without false votes (jaal vote chhara polling hoyna).

Never mind that election-related graffiti has been banned in the state. The second banner reflects the tone for the five-phase assembly elections in the state that begin on April 17, where false votes-and eliminating them-has become the biggest election issue. The red rage is quite evident in West Bengal with the Opposition nurturing high hopes that this time they might have a more even ground on which to fight the Goliath in the state-the Left Front.

The revised voters' list published by the Election Commission (EC) last week which had deleted the names of over 13 lakh false voters has left few political parties smiling, while others are up in arms to make the best of the issue. The number of deletions is thrice that of last year-it was 3.47 lakh in 2004 and 3.39 lakh in 2005. On the other hand, 21 lakh new names have been admitted in the list.

While EC is busy tackling the false voter menace in the state, the Left Front has tried to clean up its own stable. This time, the CPI(M) has been merciless and has not issued nominations to any of the senior state education ministers because the state has had a dismal track record on this front. Those who have been left out include Satya Sadhan Chakraborty, the minister for higher education, and Kanti Biswas, veteran minister for primary education. Says Biswas, "This step has been taken so that we can be doubly active during the elections. Without having to bother about a constituency, I can help in strengthening the party's prospects."

PAST PERFORMANCES

Total 1996 2001

294 Seats Vote% Seats Vote%

LEFT 202 48.9 198 49.0
TC-CON 82 39.5 87 40.0
BJP 0 6.5 0 6.0
OTHERS 10 5.1 9 5.0

The party's prospects undoubtedly need some strengthening. The last 27 years have seen uninterrupted Left Front rule in West Bengal. What started as a hardliner's strategy of being a government of the poor has given way to a bourgeois-friendly investment policy with Buddhadeb Bhattacharya taking over as state chief minister. The landscape of Kolkata has changed, now dotted with huge towers housing it conglomerates and outsourced professionals. The road system has also seen a marked improvement in the last five years, flyovers have been added and jobs generated.

The CPI(M), due to Bhattacharya's industrialisation policies, is on solid ground as far as the popularity graph is concerned. But that very policy has become a cause for worry when it comes to its own partners. A few contentious issues have created rifts within the Front. The poll manifesto, for example, had to be revised when CPI protested on issues such as agricultural land being given away to foreign investors and the modernisation of the Dumdum airport, calling it "privatisation in the name of modernisation". The concern of Left Front partners stems from the fact that Bhattacharya's industrialisation and it overdrive has badly diminished the Left's popularity in rural areas, especially the heavily-populated districts surrounding the city where huge tracts of farming lands are being appropriated to build factories, health cities and housing complexes.

  PICTURE SPEAK
LAST CHANCE: After three disasters, Mamata hopes for better luck
It is evident that the Left is trying its best to shed its regressive image and infuse young blood and new faces into the Assembly; many candidates who will contest the elections for the first time are below 40 years of age, and 33 of them are women. The Front will be contesting all 290 of the 294 seats, out of which CPI(M) is contesting on 209, All India Forward Block on 34, the Revolutionary Socialist Party on 23, and the Communist Party of India will field its candidates on 13 seats.

Even this time around, the Opposition is yet to decide its poll agenda in the state. One setback it faces is the publication of the revised voters' list, which has nothing in store for it. This week when the Opposition lodged its protest with the EC, they were well-armed. According to Opposition sources, more than 7,000 names appear two, five or 10 times on the list. Other grievances include the deletion of 2,000 names from the list, and a chunk of 500 names proposed by the ruling party being included in it without any objection. What sets this apart from a similar exercise before the Bihar and the West Bengal election is the fact that here, the EC had to completely rely on state machinery to do their job, however, conscientious they might have been.

Much more than the protests over the electoral rolls is brewing.

Trinamool Congress may land the NDA alliance in trouble, as Mamata Banerjee has a problem over seatsharing and may prefer to contest alone without its support.

While the Left Front has declared its candidates, the Congress is still grappling with a major decision-whether to join hands with Mamata's Trinamool or not. Many in the state Congress unit favour an electoral pact with the Trinamool, while others oppose any alliance with political parties in the BJP camp, creating a difficult situation. With Congress not ruling out an alliance, and even sending Margaret Alva to appease the state unit of the Congress, the stage appears almost set for an informal alliance between the Congress and the Trinamool.

In fact, if Mamata parts ways with the BJP, senior Trinamool sources say the party may not contest as many as 80 seats where a Congress candidate is contesting. Already, a seat sharing arrangement in Malda has been agreed upon by Mamata and senior Congress leader A.B.A. Ghani Khan Chowdhury. Sources say a similar arrangement will be agreed upon by the Trinamool and the Congress everywhere else in the state as well.

If it comes to such an arrangement, Mamata's dream of a one-opposition vote in every constituency might just come true. And Buddha will definitely not be smiling then. At least, not till the election results are out.

 RELATED STORIES
Assembly Polls, West Bengal: New Friends For Old

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Index

CURRENT ISSUE
MARCH 13, 2006
 IN THIS ISSUE
INDO-US RELATIONS

The Giant Leap

OTHER STORIES
 

Fifty Fifty

Not Feel Good, Not Feel Bad...

Win Some, Lose Some

The Big Ticket Reformer

The Buddha is smiling

Marxist Disharmony

Chill in the valley

Hinterland Heartbreak

Shaky Survivor

The American Whirl

The Murder Of Justice

Patiala Peg

Vintage Bond

Own Your Own Film

Reality Check

"It will take three to six months for things to settle"

The Quarter-Life Crisis

 
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